Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.263600 0.289328 0.315576 0.344304 0.374812 0.406191 0.440854
2024-12-15 0.238677 0.275711 0.314789 0.358923 0.407208 0.458260 0.516147
2024-12-22 0.214952 0.259909 0.308779 0.365476 0.429073 0.497849 0.577484
2024-12-29 0.198898 0.250541 0.308172 0.376607 0.455008 0.541398 0.643154
2025-01-05 0.181764 0.238166 0.302704 0.381022 0.472497 0.575009 0.697604
2025-01-12 0.166138 0.226101 0.296365 0.383371 0.486812 0.604515 0.747194
2025-01-19 0.151133 0.213503 0.288296 0.382718 0.496862 0.628594 0.790272
2025-01-26 0.139868 0.204592 0.283886 0.385761 0.510764 0.656839 0.838077
2025-02-02 0.133233 0.200979 0.285540 0.395835 0.532896 0.694753 0.897394
2025-02-09 0.123704 0.192870 0.280935 0.397632 0.544563 0.719951 0.941555
2025-02-16 0.116408 0.187186 0.278979 0.402384 0.559608 0.749096 0.990469
2025-02-23 0.112716 0.186106 0.282782 0.414333 0.583587 0.789191 1.052838
2025-03-02 0.104617 0.178661 0.278144 0.415573 0.594544 0.814064 1.097839
2025-03-09 0.097737 0.172487 0.274846 0.418292 0.607235 0.841083 1.145644
2025-03-16 0.090114 0.164706 0.268924 0.417170 0.614737 0.861514 1.185351
2025-03-23 0.085814 0.161569 0.269207 0.424219 0.632792 0.895264 1.241803
2025-03-30 0.080164 0.155980 0.265718 0.425883 0.643617 0.919806 1.286818
2025-04-06 0.074658 0.150229 0.261676 0.426519 0.652902 0.942304 1.329299
2025-04-13 0.068883 0.143636 0.256061 0.424664 0.658632 0.960107 1.365817
2025-04-20 0.064747 0.139425 0.253722 0.427234 0.670211 0.985450 1.412013
2025-04-27 0.062916 0.138937 0.256883 0.437617 0.692464 1.024825 1.476416
2025-05-04 0.059036 0.134681 0.254104 0.439281 0.702674 1.048415 1.520604
2025-05-11 0.056196 0.132035 0.253649 0.444213 0.717349 1.077920 1.572566